Women's Super League predictions: Can Chelsea, Man City and Man Utd keep pressure on at top?

The Women's Super League is returning to action after the first international break of the campaign, with vital fixtures at both ends of the table.

Just two points separate the top three heading into matchday seven, with Chelsea top of the pile, ahead of the two Manchester clubs, with City and United aiming to put on the pressure.

The Blues face London City Lionesses on Saturday, kicking off at the same time as City take on struggling West Ham, while United have to wait until Sunday for their turn against Brighton.

Arsenal will also be keen to try and make up some ground after an early wobble when they travel to Leicester City.

And Liverpool are also looking to end their losing start to the season against Tottenham, who have been in fine form under Martin Ho, with Aston Villa hosting Everton in Sunday's other kick-off.

But who does the Opta supercomputer predict to be this week's winners and losers? Let's dive into the data to find out.

CHELSEA V LONDON CITY LIONESSES

Last season's WSL champions go head-to-head with the promoted side in one of Saturday's games, with Chelsea looking to continue their unbeaten start against London City.

This will be only the second time the sides have faced off in all competitions, with Chelsea winning 5-0 in their only previous meeting in the 2020-21 FA Cup fourth round.

The Blues are expected to get a second win here, winning 88.4% of the Opta supercomputer's pre-match simulations, which should perhaps come as no surprise. Chelsea are unbeaten in each of their last 21 home London derbies in the WDL (W18 D3), since a 5-0 loss to Arsenal in October 2018.

And, since the start of last season, Sonia Bompastor's team have won more games to nil than any other WSL team (16), with Chelsea winning 1-0 also the most common scoreline in the competition in that same period (nine times).

A newly promoted club has managed to win away at the reigning champions in the WSL just once in 13 attempts (D1 L11), with Sunderland beating Liverpool 2-1 in March 2015.

However, London City's hopes of ending that run sit at just 4.1%, and they are given a further 7.5% of claiming a draw. If they do win, though, they would leapfrog Arsenal, at least temporarily.

MANCHESTER CITY V WEST HAM

While Chelsea's win probability is high, Manchester City's is not far off that, with the supercomputer giving them an 86.6% chance of victory over winless West Ham.

City have won 11 of their 13 games against West Ham in the WSL, though they did draw 1-1 with the Hammers in the most recent league meeting in March 2025 (L1).

Andree Jeglertz's side are currently on the longest winning streak in the competition (five games), though they have not won six in a row since September-November last year.

West Ham, by contrast, are on the longest active losing streak (eight games), their worst-ever such run in the WSL, and they are given just a 13.4% chance of leaving Joie Stadium with something (8.6% chance of a draw, 4.8% for a win).

They have spent just 15 minutes and 39 seconds leading in league games this season (all versus Arsenal), and even if they grab the first goal against City, they will not sit comfortably – the Citizens have won 19 points from losing positions in the WSL since the start of last season.

City have already won four games despite falling behind in 2025 and have a constant threat throughout in Khadija Shaw.

The Jamaican has scored in each of her last six home starts in the WSL and could become only the third player to do so in seven straight in the competition after Jodie Taylor (2017) and Bethany England (2020 and 2023).

ASTON VILLA V EVERTON

Onto Sunday, which sees Aston Villa and Everton face off at Villa Park, with both looking to overcome their recent winless streaks.

The home team have won just one of the 10 WSL meetings between these sides (D1 L8), but Villa are backed to win this one at 47.9% to Everton's 26.1%, while a draw is fairly likely at 26%.

Everton will certainly put up a fight, though, having won all five of their away games against Villa by an aggregate 12-1 scoreline. However, after starting the season with a 4-1 win over Liverpool, the Toffees are since winless in five outings (D1 L4).

Villa, meanwhile, lost six consecutive league games between January and March, but have since lost just one of 10 WSL matches (W6 D3), their fewest-ever number of defeats across a 10-game spell in the competition.

They will have to be wary of Ornella Vignola, however. She is the leading goalscorer away from home this season (four goals), though she will likely be coming up against Sabrina D'Angelo, who has the best save percentage at 91.7% so far.

BRIGHTON V MANCHESTER UNITED

Should Chelsea and Man City slip up on Saturday, Manchester United will be waiting in the wings to put the pressure on at the top when they travel to Brighton.

Like Chelsea, United are still yet to lose this season, going unbeaten in their opening six games for the third successive campaign (seven in 2024-25, six in 2023-24).

The Red Devils are unbeaten in each of their last 10 games against Brighton in all competitions (W8 D2), though they have drawn their last two visits to the Seagulls.

Another draw has a 19.5% likelihood of happening at Broadfield Stadium, with United expected to come away with a win at 63.3%.

Brighton have lost just two of their 14 WSL home games since the start of last season (W7 D5), but are given just a 17.2% chance of not making that three defeats.

They have won just one of their 12 WSL meetings with United (D3 L8), going eight without victory since April 2021 (D2 L6).

United have won all three of their away games so far this season and will be counting on Melvine Malard to help them continue that run – she is the top scorer this season, reaching five goals quicker than any other player in the club's history (six appearances).

LEICESTER CITY V ARSENAL

Arsenal are slightly off the current title pace, with a three-game winless streak seeing them slightly lose touch with the top three.

The Gunners are expected to get a second consecutive WSL win when they face Leicester City, though, with the supercomputer making them favourites at 72.2%. The Foxes' hopes sit at 12.3%.

Against no side have Leicester suffered more defeats than against Arsenal, losing all eight of their top-flight matches against them. That is the Gunners' current longest winning streak against a single side in the competition.

Arsenal have won just one of their last five WSL away games (D1 L3), losing four of nine matches on the road in 2025 (W4 D1) – never before have they suffered five away defeats in the same calendar year.

Leicester will not make things easy, though. Despite being winless in four, only in 2023-24 (seven) have they had more points after six games than their five this term.

And, since the start of last season, Leicester have won a greater proportion of their total WSL points in home games than any other side (84% - 21/25). In that time, they have won four points from four such matches against sides who finished the previous season in the top four.

TOTTENHAM V LIVERPOOL

Like West Ham, Liverpool are also looking to earn their first win after a dismal start to their season, and Tottenham may be the perfect opponent for them to do so against.

Liverpool remain pointless five games into a WSL campaign for the first time and are currently enduring their longest-ever losing streak in the competition (seven in a row).

The Reds are only given a 25.7% chance of victory to Spurs' 48.4%, but Liverpool are unbeaten in each of their last five WSL games against Tottenham (W2 D3), a run dating back to October 2022.

Spurs did win their first two home games against Liverpool but have since failed to win this fixture in both of the last two seasons (1-1 in 2023-24, 2-3 in 2024-25).

Ho's side are in fine form, however, outperforming their expected points (xP) by the biggest margin in the WSL this term (8.1 xP, 12 points, +3.9). By contrast, Liverpool have underperformed by the biggest differential (4.5 xP, 0 points, -4.5).